X-Trans VI | FUJI X WEEKLY

What Fujifilm X-Trans VI Might Look Like

The sun is beginning to set on Fujifilm’s fifth-generation of X-series cameras. Soon, dawn will break on X-Trans VI. This is a much-too-early speculation on what that might look like. In other words, take all of this with a massive grain of salt, because these are merely guesses. I don’t have any inside information. Many of my prior guesses were completely wrong, but a few were spot on—I anticipate that many of these will prove to be incorrect, too, but that some will turn out to be right.

I don’t know with certainty that the upcoming Fujifilm X-T30 III will be the final fifth-generation camera. The X-T30 II was the last fourth-generation model. The X-E series has often marked the end of a generation by being the second-to-last model. So with the recent release of the Fujifilm X-E5, and the upcoming announcement of the X-T30 III, I think it’s a pretty safe bet that the fifth-generation is coming to a close, and that the sixth-generation is right around the corner.

To start with, let’s talk about a potential timeline. I think the first sixth-generation camera will be the X-Pro5 (maybe they’ll call it X-Pro4), and it will be announced in January or February, and ship in February or March. After that will be the X-H3 and X-H3s, which will come in late-spring and/or summer. I’m going to go way out on a limb, and say that an X80 (followup to the X70) will come in fall of 2026. If this all happens, next year will be a busy year for the X-series.

In 2027, I see the X-T6 arriving in late-winter or early-spring. The X-S30 will likely follow in the summer or fall. I suspect there will be a GFX release or two, but that’s it for the X-series for that year. In 2028, I anticipate the X100VII in late-winter or early-spring, followed by the X-T60 in late-spring or early-summer, and the X-M5 in the fall. 2029 will wind down the sixth-generation, with an X-HF2 (not X-Trans, but technically X-series) early in the year and an X-E6 later in the year. There will not be a followup to the X-T30 III. It’s possible that the seventh-generation of X-Trans kicks off towards the end of 2029, possibly with an Eterna 28 (APS-C version of the GFX Eterna 55) cinema camera.

A lot will look the same between X-Trans V and X-Trans VI, as it will be mainly under-the-hood changes. I don’t anticipate any major resolution bump with X-Trans VI; I think it will be more about speed and efficiency. Will Fujifilm continue to use the same sensors? They might. I can see a partially stacked 40mp sensor in the X-Pro3, X-H2, X-T6, and maybe X100VII. I can see them using the 40mp X-Trans V sensor (but paired with a new processor) in the X-T60, X-E6, and maybe X100VII (the X100VII could go either way between non-stacked and partially stacked). I don’t think that the 26mp X-Trans IV sensor will be used any longer, but a new sensor (maybe 30mp) will be added to the lineup, found in the X80, X-S30, and X-M5. The X-H3s might continue to use the same 26mp stacked X-Trans V sensor, or it might have a new-and-improved stacked sensor.

My guess is that the X-Pro5 will have an aspect ratio dial like the GFX100RF, and will be the first X-series model with the XPan aspect ratio. It will probably have the classic EVF feature like the X-E5. It might even have a Film Dial like the X-E5. I really don’t know what else will be different, but I suspect there will be a few surprises. The X-H3s will be a lot like the X-H2s, but with some speed/efficiency improvements plus the ability to use video LUTs like the Eterna 55. The X-H3 will be a lot like the X-H2, but mainly just speed/efficiency improvements. The X80—if Fujifilm decides to make it—will be a massive success, and will serve as Fujifilm’s closest competitor to the Ricoh GR IV.

The X-T6 will be a lot like the X-T5, with mainly just speed and efficiency upgrades. The X-S30 will have a new sensor, I believe, that will boost the resolution a smidge; overall, I don’t think it will be much different than the X-S20. The X100VII will have a new-and-improved lens that can better take full advantage of the 40mp sensor, but otherwise will be quite similar to the X100VII. It could have an X-E5-like Film Dial, too. The X-T60 won’t be a whole lot different than the X-T50, just small improvements. The X-M6 will likely have a new sensor, but otherwise won’t be much different than the X-M5. The X-HF2 will have a hotshoe and/or better flash, but will still be pretty much the same. The X-E6, which might just be called the X-E5s, will just see some small improvements, like Classic Negative added to the Film Dial, and other minor refreshes.

There will probably be two new Film Simulations added: one beginning with the X-Pro5, and another with the X100VII. Some potential Film Sim ideas are Fujicolor PRO 400H emulation that turns pastel with overexposure, Natura (modeled after Natura 1600), Fortia (more vibrant than Velvia), Cross Process (modeled after Velvia 50 that’s been cross processed), Instax, and a more contrasty B&W option. I think they will add a couple more JPEG options, too. I’d like to see Halation Effect (with the options of Off, Weak, Strong) and Light Leak (Off, Intermittent, On), which Fujifilm has already invented, they just need to incorporate. Faded black and vignetting are a couple other options worth considering. They should revamp the Advanced Filters, adding Retro and Expired Film from the X half, and allow Dynamic Range, White Balance, and Grain to be selected. There’s a lot that Fujifilm could do, but a suspect it will be limited to a couple of new Film Simulations, a couple of new JPEG options, and maybe some long-overdue improvements to the Advanced Filters.

Essentially, I think the sixth-generation will look a lot like the fifth, with mostly under-the-hood improvements. If Fujifilm has ever considered releasing an X80, they should probably do so sooner than later; if they do, that camera will be the X-Trans VI headliner. The X-Pro5 will probably be the most different compared to its predecessor. My guess is that there will not be an X-T30 IV or X-T40—the X-T30 III will be the final iteration of that camera; however, they will continue to sell it well into the sixth-generation lifecycle, quietly discontinuing it 2028. Of course, all of this is speculation. Fujifilm could certainly surprise us with all sorts of things—they’ve done it before, and they’ll do it again. A lot seems pretty predictable, though; however, we should expect the unexpected, at least here and there.

Let’s Talk About X-Trans VI

Posted on September 3 by Ritchie Roesch

In my estimation, the next generation of Fujifilm cameras is right around the corner, likely to be announced early next year. I’ll tell you why I think that, and I’ll take some guesses at what X-Trans VI could look like—what might be different on the next generation of X-series cameras.

Fujifilm’s generational lifespan for the X-series is about three years. Some are a little longer, some are a little shorter. X-Trans I had the shortest lifespan of only about one year, or maybe two years, depending on how you classify the X-M1, which had an X-Trans I sensor paired with X-Trans II processor. Otherwise, though, three or three-and-a-half years is the average. Even though the X-S20 and X-M5 (and likely the X-T30 III when it is announced soon) have an X-Trans IV sensor, I consider them fifth generation cameras because they have the X-Processor 5 and everything that goes with that—they have some notable similarities to the other fifth generation models (the X-M1, on the other hand, had notable dissimilarities with X-Trans II models). The X-H2/X-H2s kicked off X-Trans V a little over three years ago, so we’re due for the next generation.

Fujifilm has been using the X-E series as a marker for the end of an X-Trans generation—not as the last camera, but as the second-to-last. The X-E1 was the second-to-last X-Trans I camera, with the X-M1 as the last; the X-E2s was released simultaneously with the X70, the last two X-Trans II cameras; the X-E3 was the second-to-last X-Trans III model, with only the X-H1 following; the X-E4 was the second-to-last X-Trans IV release (not including the X-S20 and X-M5), with the X-T30 II as the last. The Fujifilm X-E5 will most likely continue this pattern, and be the second-to-last fifth-generation model, with only the upcoming X-T30 III following. I think it’s safe to say, based on past patterns, that 2025 will be the final year for the fifth-generation, and the sixth-generation will kick off in 2026.

Fujifilm often announces cameras in January/February, which are shipped in February/March. There’s a reasonable chance that will continue; however, not every year sees a camera released at the very beginning. A spring announcement with a late-spring, early-summer release is also common. My best guess is that the first sixth generation camera will be announced on or before the end of May, but probably sooner. Keep in mind this is merely a guess and nothing more.

What will X-Trans VI look like? I think it will be more about speed and efficiency than resolution. X-Trans takes a lot more computing power than Bayer, which not only puts a strain on the processor, but can also be more prone to heat dispersion issues. By emphasizing speed and efficiency improvements, Fujifilm can minimize some of the drawbacks to X-Trans. Besides, 40mp is already more than enough resolution for the format. I’m not sure if Fujifilm plans to continue using the same sensors and just upgrade the processor, or if we’ll see new sensors, too—or maybe a mix. Or it could be that we’ll see “new” sensors that have identical specs to the old ones, with small design improvements.

Sony makes Fujifilm’s camera sensors, as they do for many camera companies. If Fujifilm wants a partially-stacked 40mp APS-C sensor, Sony has to be willing to manufacture and sell it to Fujifilm. I think such a sensor would be well received in an X-H3 and X-T6, and would help to address speed and efficiency. Would Sony make that sensor, and how much more will it cost than the non-stacked version? That’s a good question. I think there is potential for some cameras to have a partially-stacked 40mp sensor (X-H3 and X-T6), and some to have a non-stacked 40mp sensor (for example, X-T60 and X-E6).

What about the X-H3s? Will it continue with the 26mp stacked sensor? If the X-H3 has a partially-stacked sensor, that might narrow the gap sufficiently for Fujifilm to discontinue the X-H2s line altogether. I think it’s possible that Fujifilm offers some small under-the-hood improvements along with the X-Processor 6, and simply call it the X-H2s II (basically, a very minor update). I also think it’s possible that Fujifilm replaces the X-H2s with an X-series version of the upcoming GFX Eterna cinema camera. I’m not sure how well the X-H2 and X-H2s have sold, and if Fujifilm feels that both models are justified in the new generation. If there’s one camera potentially on the chopping block, it’s likely either the X-H2 or the X-H2s; however, my guess is that they both continue, unless an “X Eterna” model is introduced as a sort-of replacement for the X-H2s.

I also wonder if Fujifilm will continue to use the X-Trans IV sensor into the sixth generation. As far as I know, Sony doesn’t offer any APS-C sensor in-between the 26mp that X-Trans IV is built on and the 40mp that X-Trans V is built on. Maybe Sony has been developing (say) a 32mp sensor behind the scenes; after all, Fujifilm was the first and (so far) only customer of the 40mp sensor, so it could happen with another one. If so, Fujifilm would move beyond the X-Trans IV sensor in its lower-resolution sixth generation cameras, like the X-S30, X-M6, and X-T30 IV (perhaps the X-T30 III and X-T50 “merge” into one line, called the X-T60, with a 32mp X-Trans VI sensor). If not, I suspect that the X-Trans IV sensor will live on for a few more years, or maybe they make a minor change to it and call it 26mp X-Trans VI. It might even make sense for Fujifilm to offer three different resolution options.

It’s possible, albeit highly unlikely, that Fujifilm will stop using Sony sensors. Samsung makes pretty good camera sensors, and Fujifilm even helps with some of their technology. They used to manufacture APS-C sensors for their long-defunct NX line, including a 28mp one that was pretty well regarded at the time. I could see Fujifilm using a new sensor maker for X-Trans VI, but I would be highly surprised if that actually happens. Sony is tried-and-true, reliable, and comfortable—if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it.

My guess is that the next X-Pro, which might be called X-Pro4, X-Pro5, or maybe even X-Pro6, will be announced early next year, and will be the first sixth generation camera. I have no idea what will be different about it. I really hope that it has the XPan aspect ratio—it would be an absolute shame if it doesn’t. The X-Pro1 kicked off X-Trans I, the X-Pro2 launched X-Trans III (there was a significant gap in-between the two), and the X-Pro3 was the first camera with Classic Negative (and some other JPEG goodies). It’s overdue, so it makes sense to me that it will be the first X-Trans VI model.

After that, the X-H3 and X-H3s (or X Eterna) seem like logical options, followed by the X-T6, which might come in late 2026 or early 2027. I could see the X-S30 announced in May of 2027, and with it the new 32mp sensor (if such a sensor happens). Of course, this is all highly speculative. I have no inside information, these are merely guesses that should be taken with a huge amount of salt.

I do think that X-Trans VI should introduce a new Film Simulation or two. While Fujifilm is the in-camera JPEG processing leader, other companies are trying to close the gap, so Fujifilm should not be complacent. Some ideas: PRO Neg. H, that resembles Fujicolor PRO 400H film, and turns pastel with overexposure; Velvia XPRO, which mimics Fujichrome Velvia 50 that has been cross-processed; Fortia, which is simply the Pop Color Advanced Filter graduated to Film Simulation, resembling Fujichrome Fortia film; Natura, a facsimile of Fujicolor Natura 1600; Neopan, a new B&W option similar to Acros but with more contrast. I have many other ideas, but those should get Fujifilm started if they’re not sure what to do.

It shouldn’t stop with Film Simulations. Some other JPEG ideas are: Highlight and Shadow Color Toning, allowing for a split tone aesthetic (available for both color and B&W photos; something like the Monochromatic Color option, but specifically for Highlight and/or Shadow); Faded Shadow Effect (Strong, Weak, Off); Vignetting (Strong, Weak, Off); Halation Effect (Strong, Weak, Off); Light Leak Effect (On, Random, Off); Mid Tone adjustment within the Tone Curve (-2 to +4); Medium Grain size and strength; Extra Strong and Extra Large Grain Effect. Additionally, I’d like to see the Retro and Expired Film Filters from the X half make their way into Advanced Filters, and also the ability to set Grain and perhaps some other customizations within Advanced Filters. Last but certainly not least, all of the 40mp cameras should have the XPan aspect ratio. If Fujifilm introduced just half of those ideas, it would be highly celebrated.

I’d also like to see Fujifilm address the IQ options—the Recipe parameters—linked to other settings, such as AF, sound, etc., within C1-C7. I explained this problem last year, and provided Fujifilm with a potential solution that came from Fred Miranda—if you’re from Fujifilm, you may want to read that article. Also, John Peltier covered this topic in his Fujifilm X-E5 video. There’s more than one way that this could be addressed, and the X-E5 does sort-of somewhat fix it, but I think it’s important to find a solution sooner than later.

We’re nearing the end of the fifth generation of the X-series. In all likelihood, the sixth generation will come in 2026, which is right around the corner. I have no idea what changes that will bring, but it will certainly bring some. While I’m excited for the new cameras, I also want to express my opinion that camera successors come too quickly. If parts can be secured, camera makers should keep manufacturing models for many years. The refresh rate should be five-to-seven years; three years should be an exception and not a rule. Regular firmware updates can keep “old” products fresh. This also means you have to keep building the current models, and situations where a certain one is discontinued and the successor doesn’t come for a couple of years should be avoided. Discontinue the old model when the new one is six months out, and when the new one is released, it should be a substantial update, and not a minor refresh. This seems like a more realistic approach, and is more similar to how the camera industry worked for many, many decades—I hope we can get back to that. In the meantime, I’ll continue to enjoy the cameras I have, which are quite excellent photo-making machines. It’s fun to consider what the future might be, but it’s important to not lose sight of here and now, which is what actually matters.

When will Fujifilm announce the X-Pro4??

Posted on November 20, 2024 by Ritchie Roesch

I get asked somewhat regularly when I think the X-Pro4 camera will be announced, or if it will ever come. It’s long overdue. Some folks are even losing hope, believing that Fujifilm has abandoned the line altogether. I often see questions like: When will the next X-Pro come? What will be different about it? Was the X-Pro3 the last iteration?

The X-Pro1 is a historically significant camera. It was the first interchangeable-lens X-series model, and the first X-Trans camera. Fujifilm’s success in the digital camera world hinged on this one model. If it flopped, there would not likely be any X or GFX cameras being manufactured today. The X-series would be a forgotten footnote, like Samsung’s NX line. However, the camera was a success, and the rest is history, as they say.

The lifecycle of the X-Pro series has been pretty consistent. The X-Pro1 was announced in early 2012. Exactly four years later, the X-Pro2 was announced. The X-Pro3 came just a smidge early, in fall 2019 (instead of early 2020). If this pattern continued, the next X-Pro—presumably called X-Pro4, or maybe X-Pro5 since the number four is considered unlucky in Japan (sometimes, but not always, Fujifilm skips it)— should have come out either in fall of 2023 or first quarter of 2024. Obviously it didn’t. And there’s not been any indication that it is coming soon, either. The X-Pro4 is now long overdue, and seemingly abandoned. An X-Pro4 in 2024 would have made a lot of sense, as would an X-Pro5 in 2025 (assuming they skip the number four).

In my opinion, camera makers refresh camera lines much too quickly. A four-year cycle should be pretty normal, and some models should take longer than that. I don’t have a problem with the next X-Pro coming out five or even six years since the last. I do wish that the X-Pro3 hadn’t been discontinued. I can’t say for sure, but its discontinuation was likely due to the ribbon wiring harness to the rear screen not being reliable enough, which caused problems for some X-Pro3 owners. The backwards rear screen was a bold experiment that I applaud Fujifilm for having the guts to try, but ultimately I think it was a bust. Between the screen issues and so-so sales after the initial demand faded, I think Fujifilm felt the X-Pro3 had run its course after three years.

*Twisted Tree* – Keystone, SD – Fujifilm X-Pro2 – Acros Recipe

Just to be clear, I have no inside information. Sometimes people assume that I do, but I don’t. I get my information the same way that you do. All I have are guesses. Please take this article with a grain of salt.

I believe that Fujifilm is currently developing the next X-Pro camera right now. I don’t know if they’re at the beginning stages or near the end or somewhere in-between (probably somewhere in-between). It’s possible that a few people already have their hands on a prototype, I don’t know. But I do have a lot of confidence that the work has begun on the camera and it is somewhere on the path to becoming a reality. There will be an X-Pro4 (or maybe called X-Pro5) in the future, I’m 99.9% sure of it.

When exactly the camera comes out and what will be different about it is something I don’t know. Back in 2023 I speculated that it was likely to be released in 2024. Earlier this year I speculated that it was likely fall of 2024, or maybe spring 2025 at the latest. Obviously I was wrong about those dates. Some speculation that I’m mildly confident will prove to be true: the next X-Pro iteration won’t be X-Trans V, but X-Trans VI.

Fujifilm introduced the world to X-Trans technology with the X-Pro1. The X-Trans I sensor was fairly short lived (only the X-Pro1, X-E1, and X-M1 cameras had it… the X-M1 paired the sensor with the X-Trans II processor). The X-Pro series completely skipped over the X-Trans II sensor. Fujifilm introduced the X-Trans III sensor with the X-Pro2. The X-Pro3 was the third X-Trans IV camera; however, they introduced Classic Negative, Grain size, Color Chrome FX Blue, and Clarity with it. My guess is that—like X-Trans II—Fujifilm will skip X-Trans V and go straight for X-Trans VI, introducing that sensor with the next X-Pro camera.

*From Dust To Dust* – Great Sand Dunes NP, CO – Fujifilm X-Pro2 – Kodachrome II Recipe

I don’t know what will differentiate X-Trans VI from X-Trans V, but my guess is speed and efficiency. Probably not megapixels. I suspect that Fujifilm will look to improve autofocus, frame rates, sensor readout, heat dispersion, and things like that, with the next X-Trans sensor. Most of these improvements are unlikely to significantly impact an X-Pro model due to how people typically use these cameras, but I’m sure they will be welcomed nonetheless—especially if the Clarity pause can (finally) be shortened. Fujifilm might (should, in my opinion) introduce a new Film Simulation—Fortia? XPro (cross-process)? Natura? PRO Neg H (looks like 400H and turns pastel with overexposure)?—and maybe a new JPEG tool or two (faded shadows? split toning? Medium Grain strength and size? mid-tone boost? half-step WB Shift?) with the X-Pro4. Increasing the number of Custom Settings presets from 7 to 10 (or more) would be celebrated. The XPan aspect ratio is a must, I think. There’s plenty that Fujifilm could do.

But there’s also plenty that Fujifilm shouldn’t do. I will be mildly surprised if the X-Pro4 has a backwards screen like the X-Pro3 (my guess is that it will be more like the X100VI and X-T5); otherwise, the less they change the better. Look at the feedback from the X-Pro2 and X-Pro3, and change as little as possible. In my opinion, the best X-Pro iteration was the Fujifilm X-Pro2, so if the upcoming X-Pro is more like it I certainly won’t complain.

My guess is that the X-Pro4 (maybe called X-Pro5) will be announced either in September/October of 2025 or (more likely) the first quarter of 2026. Prior to its announcement, I would expect that Fujifilm will release an X-E5 (the X-E series is almost always released at the end of a sensor generation) and maybe an X-T30 III. Both of those will likely have an X-Trans IV sensor paired with the X-Trans V processor (although it is certainly possible that the X-E5 will get the 40mp X-Trans V sensor). I wouldn’t be surprised to see another model, such as the 1″ sensor camera that’s been rumored, also announced in 2025. My best guess—and remember, it’s just a guess—is that the next X-Pro, along with the X-Trans VI sensor, will arrive in early 2026, approximately 15 to 16 months from now. I know a lot of people are looking forward to it, and it will surely eventually happen, but I think it’s still a little ways out.