Fujirumors posted an article today entitled BREAKING: This Totally Unexpected Fujifilm Camera is Coming in 2025 – And I Know You Won’t Believe Me. I believe it and even expected it, because I’ve been saying it for over a year. If you regularly read Fuji X Weekly, you probably believe it, too, and might even have expected it yourself. I can’t tell you how many times I’ve predicted it over the last 14 months—probably a good handful. For some (including myself), this is not a surprise in the least.
In the third paragraph of my Fujifilm X-T50 review (published on May 16, 2024), I stated, “The X-T50 is not the successor to the X-T30 II, but a whole new (yet highly similar) line. Fujifilm plans to sell the X-T30 II alongside the X-T50, similarly to what they did with the X-T3 and X-T4 a few years back. This also means that there is a potential future successor to the X-T30 II, perhaps called the X-T30 III or X-T40; I don’t know that for sure, but I think it is a fair assumption. The main thing for you to know is that the X-T50 is not a replacement for any previous model, but a whole new camera.”
Just two months ago, in my article entitled My Hopes for the Fujifilm X-E5 (published on May 21st), I concluded with this: “My prediction, which is merely a guess and nothing more, is that an X-T30 III (an X-T30 II but with X-Processor 5) will be announced in the fall….” It looks like that guess was pretty much correct.
For those still scratching their heads, Fujirumors just leaked that the X-T30 II’s successor (which isn’t the X-T50) is coming sometime in 2025. And this is taking the Fujifilm community by surprise. Many people apparently assumed that the X-T50 was the X-T30 II’s successor, even though Fujifilm said from the get-go that it wasn’t. Fuji X Weekly might have been the only website that predicted the X-T30 III (or maybe they’ll call it X-T40, but I doubt it). I don’t have any inside information, I only took Fujifilm at their word, and followed the sequence of past releases to predict this outcome. It just made sense to me.
So what will the Fujifilm X-T30 III look like? I think it will be exactly the same as the X-T30 and X-T30 II (which was mostly just a firmware update to the X-T30), except with the X-Processor 5. In other words, it will have Nostalgic Neg. and Reala Ace, but otherwise will be pretty much identical to the X-T30 II. Some are predicting an X-T50 but with the 26mp sensor instead of 40mp, but I don’t think so, personally. There will be a price increase, because of inflation (and, in America, the tariffs). The X-T30 II was $900 in 2021, which is $1,070 today, so don’t be surprised if the X-T30 III is about $1,050-$1,100 USD for the body-only outside of America, and $1,300-$1,400 in the US due to tariffs. That’s just the new normal, I think.
The question that some will certainly ask is why does this camera need to exist. The X-M5 is the new entry-level model. The X-S20 is the hybrid PASM model underneath the X-H2/X-H2s. The X-E5 has been upgraded to a mid-tier camera. The X-T50 is also a mid-tier model. Where does the X-T30 III fit into that? I believe that it will be the lowest-tier non-PASM camera, underneath the X-T50 and X-T5. This line has been historically successful for Fujifilm. It offers a more affordable option for those who want an EVF. But… I think it will also be an indication of what’s to come very soon with the other models (aside from the X-E5 and X half): price increases (at least in America, maybe not worldwide). Other brands have already announced higher prices, and Fujifilm will be doing so soon, too, in my opinion.
Of course, I’ve been wrong about plenty of things before. For every one thing that I’ve predicted correct, I’ve predicted two or three completely incorrect. That’s the trouble with guessing the future (ask Robert Zemeckis). I cannot say with any level of certainty what the X-T30 II’s successor will be like, so my predictions should be taken with a large grain of salt. But the fact is that the X-T30 II’s successor is coming soon, and I’m not surprised by it.
After I published Why the Upcoming Fujifilm Half-Frame Camera is Genius last week, I had some further thoughts about what this camera may or may not be. Did I have it all wrong? What if the Xhalf isn’t what I am expecting? Perhaps it is an entirely different concept.
I’m not suggesting that the Xhalf won’t be a vertically orientated 20mp 1″ sensor camera, or that it won’t be able to capture diptychs (two images side-by-side), because that’s all true. And it will indeed be a compact fixed-lens camera. There are some things we know, but there’s also a lot that we don’t know, and are just speculating.
As I’ve thought about it, I wonder if video will even be integrated into the camera. After all, it will have a small rear LCD (orientated vertically) and an OVF (not an EVF), which doesn’t seem like an ideal configuration for videography. It will apparently have a mode where you cannot review your pictures until you’ve captured a whole simulated roll of film, which sounds like a photo-centric design with the intention of a film-like experience. So it might not have video capabilities, and—if so—this isn’t going to be a camera for TikTok content creators, as I speculated it would be. My guess is that it will have some capability to record video, but there is certainly the possibility that it won’t or that it will be quite limited, and, if that is true, I definitely got the concept wrong.
There’s also the menu. It will surely need to be simplified for the vertical screen, right? In other words, it might not have all of the features that are standard on other X-series models. I don’t know what exactly, but if the idea is simplicity and a film-like experience, the UI will certainly be unlike any X-series camera. I suspect that it won’t have all of the bells and whistles that we’re accustomed to on the latest models. Which bells and which whistles are excluded will be interesting to know, and depending on just how far Fujifilm goes with this, it could certainly cripple the camera. Or maybe they’ve come up with a clever solution, and this worry is for nothing.
Most X-series cameras are announced in conjunction with an X Summit. There are a few exceptions, but the list is small, and it’s been awhile. Supposedly, the Xhalf will be announced in a little over two weeks, on May 22; however, there has been no X Summit announcement. It’s possible that Fujifilm will announce an X Summit at any moment, but if this camera comes without an X Summit event, what does that indicate? I don’t want to read too much into this, but maybe Fujifilm views the Xhalf as a bridge between Instax and the X-series. Perhaps it will even offer connectivity to Instax printers, unlike most X-series models.
In other words, the Xhalf might be the least premium X-series camera in a long, long time (…if Fujifilm even considers it to be a part of the X-series). It’s probably more in the ballpark of an X10 or XF1 than X100VI or even the X70. It might be more along the lines of the Instax Evo Wide, except with a better sensor and without a built-in printer. Or maybe like a cross between a Fujifilm Clear Shot S AF and a Fujica Mini half-frame, except digital, and also a little like the Fujica 35-SE (or similar model). I’m just wondering out loud, as I certainly don’t know—I’m just playing devil’s advocate to last week’s article.
For certain, the upcoming camera will offer a divergent camera experience. It will be unique—not just in Fujifilm’s lineup, but in all of photography. Whether this camera turns out to be the “genius” model that I initially speculated, or a lower-tier iteration, I think either way it will be lots of fun.
Fujifilm recently teased this silhouette of the upcoming half-frame camera.
Fujifilm is about to change the way we think about cameras—with a twist that’s so obvious, you’ll wonder why no one did it sooner. A vertical half-frame digital camera, inspired by film classics but built for the social-media age. Here’s why this little camera might just be the most brilliant idea Fujifilm has had in years.
When I first heard rumors that Fujifilm was developing a digital half-frame camera with a 1″ sensor that is mounted vertically, plus a vertically-oriented LCD screen, I thought it could be interesting, but I didn’t really grasp the significance of it. The more I sat with the idea, the more I realized that this camera will be a game-changer. It’s a brilliant move that taps deep into both photographic tradition and modern needs. It’s a camera that looks back and forward at the same time, while firmly fitting in with current trends.
First, let’s talk about the sensor orientation. Instead of the typical horizontal orientation, the sensor itself is vertical. In today’s world, vertical is king for short-form video (Instagram Reels, TikToks, YouTube Shorts). Even websites and blogs are increasingly favoring vertical imagery—whether stills or video—because most people view them on their phones. Our cellphones have been teaching us to see vertically for over a decade. Fujifilm recognized an obvious truth: if a large segment of the population is shooting vertical most of the time, why not design a camera that’s naturally optimized for it? I think it’s just a matter of time before we see longer-form videos in the vertical format, and maybe even televisions and computer monitors orientated tall (or perhaps in a plus shape) in a few years. Vertical is the future, and the future is now; however, the tech industry has been a little slow to embrace this—perhaps because it upends 137 years of motion picture and nearly a hundred years of television norms.
But it goes deeper than just trendy vertical videos. This camera harkens back to the classic half-frame film cameras of the 1960s, ’70s, and ’80’s, such as the Canon Demi, Olympus Pen F, Konica Recorder, and many others. Just within the last couple of years, the Kodak H35N and Pentax 17 have been analog hits. These cameras shoot two vertical frames on a standard 35mm negative (hence the term “half-frame”), allowing photographers to get twice the number of exposures per roll. Diptychs—two frames that work together as a pair—encourage creativity, storytelling, and experimentation. Fujifilm is embracing this with their upcoming X-series camera. Digital diptychs will be an invitation to think differently, to see differently. It’s not just about creating one great shot; it’s about how two moments side-by-side can create greater meaning.
The elephant in the room is the sensor size. A 1″ sensor is not the same size as a half-frame of 35mm film; actually, APS-C is pretty much half of full-frame. A 1″ sensor is basically half the size of APS-C, so it could be thought of as half-frame compared to APS-C. I think the camera will be more the spirit of half-frame than the technical definition, which will drive some people nuts. While there are some current cameras with a 1″ sensor—such as the Sony RX100 VII—it’s not all that common nowadays, and might be thought of as less-than-capable. For diptychs and vertical videos, it will be more than enough, and I don’t think it will be a point of contention for most people. Plus, the smaller sensor size allows for a more compact design. In other words, it might be a camera you’ll actually take everywhere, and not collect dust because it’s inconvenient to carry.
With the sensor orientated vertical, it just makes sense that LCD screen will be vertical, too. No awkward wrist contortions needed when composing tall shots. No fighting against a UI that’s stuck thinking horizontal. Once again, Fujifilm is demonstrating that they understand how people actually shoot—obviously not everyone, but a large segment of the population, for sure. This will be an obvious camera for social media content creators considering an upgrade from their cellphones.
With the rumored ability to lock in a Film Simulation Recipe for a specified number of shots (probably 12, 24, 36, 48, and 72, but I don’t know for sure), this camera will provide an analog-like experience unlike any other. It reminds me of the “wrench” that Peter McKinnon mentioned a couple of years ago. It’s this blending of retro with modern that perhaps seems unnecessary, but might actually be refreshing. And cool.
Some might say this camera will be too niche, but I think it’s visionary. In a world flooded with generic lookalike cameras chasing megapixels and meaningless specs, Fujifilm is daring to make a model that’s fun, soulful, and vintage-yet-forward-thinking, that’s perfectly suited for how we share our lives today. When this camera is officially unveiled, it will become an instant classic, I’m confident in that prediction. It’s a genius move that is perfect for this new era of vertical-first content creation. Aside from that, it’s retro and pocketable, which are quite trendy right now.
Purportedly, Fujifilm is about to shake up the medium-format world with their upcoming 100mp fixed-lens GFX camera: GFX100RF. This upcoming model, rumored to be priced around $5,000, will feature a high resolution 100mp sensor paired with a fixed 35mm f/4 lens (28mm full-frame-equivalent, or 18.5mm APS-C-equivalent). Apparently, it will be about the same size as an X-Pro model. While this might sound like a dream camera for some, others may wonder whether it’s actually a good value—will it even be worthwhile at that price point. Let’s talk about this.
I want to start with this disclaimer: I don’t have any inside information on the upcoming camera. Fujifilm hasn’t shared anything about it with me, not even if there is a camera forthcoming, or if any camera is forthcoming. I only know as much as the next person, and what I do know I read on Fujirumors. Patrick has a pretty solid track record, so there’s a good chance that everything he has shared about the camera is correct, but until it is announced by Fujifilm, nothing can be known with 100% certainty. In other words, anytime that we’re discussing rumors, it should be taken with a grain of salt. We will all know everything when it is announced in March, and, until then, it’s only speculation.
Some might see the upcoming Fujifilm GFX100RF camera as a fantastic value. Not all that long ago, a digital medium-format camera would set you back at least $10,000, if not $30,000 or even $60,000. When Pentax released the 50mp 645Z in 2014 at “only” $8,500, it shocked the camera world because it seemed to be impossibly inexpensive for what it was. Beginning in 2017, Fujifilm basically took things a step further, and in the process became the leader in medium-format, by offering the GFX50S and GFX50R for $6,500 and $4,500 respectively. Since then, prices have continued to come down while the capabilities of these cameras have increased.
The Fujifilm GFX100S II has an MSRP of $5,000. It has the same sensor and processor as the upcoming GFX100RF. A couple advantages of the GFX100S II are that it is an interchangeable-lens model, and it has IBIS; some disadvantages are that it is much bigger/heavier, it requires the purchase of a lens, and it is PASM (not the traditional Fujifilm tactile controls). Essentially, you exchange IBIS for a lens, and get a retro-styled body about the size of an X-Pro3. The most similar lenses in the GF lineup are the 30mm f/3.5 (closest focal-length) and 50mm f/3.5 (closest size), which cost $1,700 and $1,000 respectively. An argument can be made that the GFX100RF is an excellent value at “only” $5,000, considering that the lens is included.
The big advantage of the upcoming camera is, of course, size and weight, and the retro design. My speculation is that it will be the thinest ever digital medium-format body/lens combination, and maybe even the “smallest” (depending on exactly how one defines that). Comparisons will be made to the Hasselblad 907X (plus CFV 100C back) with the 45mm f/4 or 28mm f/4 lens, which is much more expensive at over $9,000 (interestingly, the Hasselblad does not have IBIS, and we’re talking about f/4 lenses…).
I think a lot of the complaints circling the internet about the upcoming GFX100RF are from those who were unlikely to buy the camera in the first place. There was always going to be an excuse. It doesn’t have IBIS. The maximum aperture is too small. It has a fixed lens. The cost is too much. If only the engineers had pulled off miracle after miracle after miracle, then they would purchase. But since the designers were limited to things like reality, what a stupid camera that nobody will buy! Of course, I disagree with that completely.
Oak Creek – Sedona, AZ – Fujifilm GFX100S II & 80mm f/1.7 – Nostalgia Negative
The lack of IBIS will deter some, no doubt. There’s a myth that more megapixels make camera shake more noticeable, but that’s simply not true. A blurry picture is blurry no matter the resolution, and a sharp picture is sharp no matter the resolution. The same rules for achieving sharp photos apply exactly the same to 10mp as 100mp. But that doesn’t mean IBIS isn’t a useful feature that’s worthwhile to have. Some see it as essential, and the lack of it on the GFX100RF will prevent them from purchasing; however, I don’t see this as a big issue for most potential buyers.
Also, the f/4 lens is not especially exciting. This maximum aperture is not uncommon on GFX lenses, and produces a depth-of-field similar to f/2 on APS-C. People looking at it from an APS-C or full-frame perspective might find it shocking, but those in the medium-format world will see it as pretty normal, similar to how f/2 is common for the X-series.
The proper take, in my opinion, is that this camera isn’t for everyone, or even for most. The GFX system as a whole is not for everyone, or even for most. The vast majority of photographers don’t need a GFX camera. Some do, and it is available for them. Some don’t, yet enjoy the system anyway. For the majority, the X-system is a better option, in terms of value, enjoyment, size, and even capabilities. It’s not “trash” or “dumb” just because you personally don’t need it, or because it doesn’t have all of the specs that you wished it would, or because it is priced above what you can reasonably pay for a new camera. I think it’s ok to say, “That camera will be nice, but it’s not for me.”
So, then, who will the GFX100RF be for? First, it will be compelling for those who want a compact and lightweight medium-format camera. The size/weight aspect alone will make it desirable. This camera will be great for roadtrips and exploring, something that the other GFX models are not especially ideal for. I suspect that a significant group of GFX owners will buy it as a second camera for this purpose. Second, it will be for those who prefer retro styling and traditional tactile controls. The only other retro GFX camera is the 50R, which is long-discontinued and approaching seven-years-old. While that camera was considered a bit of a sales flop, it has since gained a cult-like following. Retro for Fujifilm isn’t just about trendy styling, it’s about functionality and fun. Third, it will be seen by some as the long-overdue and long-hoped-for successor to the Fujifilm X70, which has grown in popularity over the last several years. The upcoming camera is certainly not a direct followup to the X70, but I think there are enough similarities that some will see it as a spiritual successor nonetheless. Fourth, it will be seen as a larger-sensor X100-like camera, so some of the hype of the X100VI will carry over to the GFX100RF. Fifth, it will serve as a gateway into GFX. The X100-series has been a lot of people’s introduction to Fujifilm; likewise, the GFX100RF will be some people’s first GFX camera. This is because it’s an all-in-one model, and no further investment is needed to get started. It’s a way to dip your toes into the pool before deciding if you want to jump all the way in. Between those five groups, I suspect that sales will be strong, but only time will tell just how well it does.
I really hope for conversion lenses—both wide and telephoto—like the X100-series has. I highly doubt that the WCL-X100 and TCL-X100 will work on it (although it would blow my mind if they somehow did), but something similar should be made for the GFX100RF. A 0.9x wide-converter (25mm full-frame-equivalent, or 16.5mm APS-C-equivalent) or 0.8x wide-converter (22mm full-frame-equivalent, or 14.5mm APS-C-equivalent), and a 1.4x teleconverter (39mm full-frame-equivalent, 26mm APS-C-equivalent), would make the camera much more compelling. If these two conversion lenses were $500 or less each, and a compact three-lens “system” was possible for only $6,000, that would make it seem like a better bargain.
While some are suggesting that the price will cause the upcoming Fujifilm GFX100RF to be a bust, I really don’t think that will be the case; however, GFX is a niche line, and sales figures will never approach that of the X-series. It won’t sell nearly as many copies as the X100VI, or X-M5, or X-T5, etc.. But will it prove to be profitable? I’m pretty confident that it will. And if it is, I’m hopeful that it will convince Fujifilm to begin work on the GFX100R, a long-overdue successor to the GFX50R. If this camera does well, it might bring with it a whole new era of retro-style medium-format cameras.
Yellow Brush, Pink Sand – White Sands NP, NM – Fujifilm GFX100S II + 80mm f1.7 – Kodak Gold Max 400 Expired
There’s been a lot of discussions about the rumored upcoming Fujifilm GFX100RF, which might get announced next month. Supposedly, it will be a compact 100mp medium-format fixed-lens camera similar to the X100-series and about the size of an X-Pro3. It won’t have IBIS, and the lens will be 35mm f/4, which are major points of contention for some. I figured that this might be a good opportunity to explore if those two design choices will be crippling for the camera, or if it is much ado about nothing.
I don’t have any inside information on the upcoming camera. Fujifilm hasn’t shared anything about it with me, not even if there is a camera forthcoming. I only know as much as the next person, and what I do know I read on Fujirumors. Patrick has a pretty solid track record, so there’s a good chance that everything he has shared about the camera is correct, but until it is announced by Fujifilm, nothing can be known with 100% certainty. In other words, anytime that we’re discussing rumors, it should be taken with a grain of salt.
Personally, I’m really excited for the GFX100RF. I believe that an X100-like GFX camera is going to be a major success for Fujifilm. While I don’t anticipate it being as viral as the X100VI, I do think it will have strong demand. It’s also about time that Fujifilm offers a GFX camera with manual tactile controls (is not PASM). The only other one is the long-discontinued GFX50R. If the GFX100RF is a big success, I bet that Fujifilm will begin work on a long-hoped-for GFX50R successor. If sales of the GFX100RF turn out to be disappointing, I don’t anticipate a retro-styled GFX camera for a long time, if ever. In my opinion, this is a crucial release, a lot hinges on it.
Fujifilm GFX100S II & Fujinon GF 30mm f/3.5 at f/4 – PRO Negative 160C
The upcoming GFX100RF will essentially be the digital version of the Fujifilm GA645W, a fixed-lens 120 film camera from the 1990’s. The GA645W has a 45mm f/5.6 lens, which is 25mm full-frame-equivalent, and with a depth-of-field similar to f/3.2. The GFX100RF will have a 35mm f/4 lens, which is 28mm full-frame-equivalent, and with a depth-of-field similar to f/3.2. It’s not quite as wide as the GA645W, but pretty close. The Fujifilm X70, with its 18.5mm (28mm full-frame-equivalent) lens, might also be considered comparable.
Some people have said that f/4 is much too small for a maximum aperture on the upcoming GFX camera, since f/4 is not especially impressive. Unfortunately, a larger maximum aperture lens would require the camera to be bigger and heavier. Would an f/2.8 lens be nice? For sure, yes. But, at what cost? I’m sure Fujifilm was faced with a lot of difficult choices as they developed the prototype, and as they weighed the pros and cons, they made what they felt were the best decisions. So we have f/4, which is not uncommon for GFX. I count six GF lenses in the current lineup with a maximum aperture of f/4, plus two at f/3.5, and four with a maximum aperture smaller than f/4. Only five GF lenses have a maximum aperture larger than f/3.5. The decision to go with f/4 should not be all that surprising, and I doubt many—if any—in the GFX world were shocked by it.
Fujifilm GFX100S II at ISO 6400 & Fujinon GF 30mm f/3.5 at f/4 – Kodak Tri-X 400
GFX cameras are good for high-ISO photography. It’s kind of a paradox of digital medium-format: it’s good that it’s better at high-ISOs, because you’re going to need it, since the maximum apertures are typically not as large as smaller sensor formats. There are pros and cons to everything. Unsurprisingly, you’re going to find tradeoffs. It is what it is.
Not all Fujifilm cameras have in-body-image-stabilization (IBIS), but most of the GFX models do (only the original two don’t). There are a couple of situations where IBIS is especially helpful, plus a few where it can be nice to have. One is video. IBIS is not a requirement for video, but it is particularly convenient when handholding without a gimbal. Another is telephoto lenses. The longer the lens, the more useful IBIS is. Low-light situations without a tripod is an example of when it can be nice to have. For many circumstances, IBIS is not particularly necessary, especially for wide-angle lenses. Some who say that they need IBIS might discover that their photography wouldn’t suffer if it was turned off—they’re not giving themselves enough credit for how well they can hold still.
Fujifilm GFX100S II at 1/20 & Fujinon GF 30mm f/3.5 at f/16 – Kodak Tri-X 400
The rule of thumb is that, without IBIS, whatever the focal length of the lens is (or in the case of Fujifilm cameras, the full-frame-equivalent focal length), the minimum shutter speed should be a similar number. For example, if the X-series lens is 16mm, which is 24mm full-frame-equivalent, the slowest hand-held shutter speed is around 1/25. If the lens is 90mm, which has a full-frame-equivalent focal length of 135mm, the slowest hand-held shutter speed is around 1/125. With good techniques, you can often get a sharp picture with even slower shutter speeds. For the GFX100RF, with its 35mm lens (28mm full-frame-equivalent), the slowest hand-held shutter speed will be about 1/30.
There’s a myth floating around that IBIS is more necessary with 100mp sensors than with lower-resolution sensors. That’s simply not true. More resolution does not equal a bigger need for IBIS in order to get sharp photographs. A 100mp sensor has no more or less of a need for IBIS than a 12mp sensor. A sharp photo is a sharp photo no matter the resolution, and a blurry image is blurry no matter the resolution. The myth is false, and not based on reality.
Fujifilm GFX100S II at 1/25 & Fujinon GF 30mm f/3.5 at f/9 – Superia Negative
Massive crop from the above photo
I put all of this to the test yesterday. Obviously, I don’t have access to a GFX100RF. I’m sure some people have it in their hands right now, but I don’t. I do own a GFX100S II and a Fujinon GF 30mm f/3.5 lens (which doesn’t have OIS). So I turned IBIS off. I kept the aperture at f/4 or smaller. I did my best to simulate the upcoming camera, although the GFX100S II is much larger and heavier, and with PASM. The 30mm lens is 24mm full-frame-equivalent (16mm on X-series), so a little wider than what the GFX100RF will have.
The f/4 maximum aperture wasn’t a major issue. Wide-angle photography is not known for shallow depths-of-field. While it is possible to achieve a shallow depth-of-field, I don’t anticipate this being a major selling point of the camera. I imagine that “f/8 and be there” will be a much more typical shooting philosophy. In low-light situations, I did have to increase the ISO higher than I would have had to if I had used my X-series gear, but thankfully the camera does well with high-ISO.
I tested handholding the camera at slow shutter speeds. Unsurprisingly, I consistently achieved sharp photographs at 1/25, with probably a 90% success rate. At 1/20, the success rate was closer to 60%. At 1/15, the success rate was probably 30%. I was able to get one sharp photo at 1/13. Because the lens on the GFX100RF will be a little less wide-angle, the shutter speed should be increased slightly. I suspect that it will be roughly a 90% rate at 1/30, 60% at 1/25, 30% at 1/20, and maybe 10% at 1/15. Obviously, results will vary from person-to-person, depending on your technique and ability to hold still.
Fujifilm GFX100S II at 1/13 & Fujinon GF 30mm f/3.5 at f/4 – Superia Negative
Massive crop from the above photo
While IBIS would have been a nice feature, I don’t think its exclusion is a major issue. I’m sure it was a compromise in order to keep the size, weight, and price down. This camera—like every other camera that’s ever been made—is not for everyone. It has advantages and disadvantages. It will be especially great for some situations and use-cases, and not so much for others. Personally, I plan to buy it; however, probably not on the announcement day. Like the GFX100S II, I’ll have to save up and probably sell some gear in order to afford it. I think it’s going to be a lot of fun, so I’m excited to try it someday when the opportunity comes.
According to Fujirumors, Fujifilm is working on a new camera that will have a sensor size never before used by Fujifilm. I have no idea what that means, but I thought it might be fun to speculate what some of the possibilities are. Who knows if this is an X-series camera… it could be GFX. It could be a digicam or something like the XP80 waterproof camera. It could be Instax, since they have the EVO and PAL models. It could be something else entirely. For the sake of this article, I will assume that it is X-series; however, it very well might not be. I think this is one of those times where it’s best to keep expectations in check and not get your hopes up too high. Still, it can be fun to guess.
My very first thought is that it could be an X30-like successor—perhaps called X50—with a 1″ sensor. The Fujifilm X30 had a tiny 2/3″ 12mp X-Trans II sensor, but was still a good compact zoom, and is fun to use even in 2024. While a successor would need to be significantly different, I do believe that if it has a 1″ 20mp X-Trans V sensor, a 9mm to 37mm (24mm to 100mm full-frame-equivalent) f/2-4 zoom lens, IBIS, EVF, and retro tactile controls (no PASM, please), it will do quite well. There is a renewed interest in these types of cameras right now. Alternatively, a fixed-focal-length wide-angle option could be good, too.
Another idea would be to use the sensor found in the latest GoPro models. It has a tiny 1/1.9″ 27mp sensor with an unusual (almost square) 8:7 aspect ratio. The benefit of the unusual sensor shape is it allows for vertical videos without having to tilt the camera sideways, so obviously it would be a video-centric model, perhaps in the action camera realm. Most likely this would not technically be an X-series model, but it is possible that Fujifilm could use an X-Trans array. I don’t think this is a likely option, unless Fujifilm has thought of some way to stand out in what is already a crowded scene.
I doubt that Fujifilm has any interest in Micro-4/3. I think that MFT is too close to APS-C that they would only compete against themselves; aside from that, MFT is basically a declining market. Still, it is possible that an X100-like or X70-like compact fixed-lens MFT camera is in the works, I just see it as highly unlikely.
An intriguing option that I’ve suggested a couple of times (first in 2019, actually) is APS-H. There aren’t a lot of APS-H cameras anymore, but it used to be more common. Canon made some, as did Sigma. Since APS-H is about 15% larger than APS-C, not all APS-C lenses cover the entire frame. Sigma’s solution was to automatically crop to APS-C for the lenses without full coverage, and I would suggest that Fujifilm take the same approach. While some Fujifilm lenses will fully cover APS-H, some—the majority, actually—won’t; for those that don’t, the camera would automatically crop to APS-C.
The reason why Fujifilm might do this—and the camera that Fujifilm might do this for—is XPan on the future X-Pro4 (or maybe called X-Pro5). Where APS-C lenses struggle to cover APS-H are the corners, so the not-fully-covered lenses would be just fine for the XPan aspect-ratio, since the corners are cropped out. The roughly 50mp APS-H sensor would produce roughly 27mp XPan images. For lenses without full coverage with the 3:2 aspect ratio, you’d still get a 40mp APS-C photo; however, for the lenses with full coverage, you’d get the full 50mp-ish picture.
The only other option I can think of that makes sense is perhaps a full-frame X100-like camera. I don’t believe that Fujifilm has any interest in creating a new lens mount, so I would be completely shocked if Fujifilm made any interchangeable-lens full-frame models. Fujifilm would mostly be competing against themselves, and would undercut both their X and GFX lines; aside from that, the full-frame market is quite crowded and highly competitive. But, a premium fixed-lens full-frame camera might sell very well. Fujifilm would have to do something to differentiate it from the X100VI so that they aren’t directly competing against each other, and I have no doubts that they can.
If I were to bet on what it will be, my guess is none of these, that it’s not an X-series camera. If it is in the X-series, I think the top odds are that it is a 1″ sensor compact camera of some sort. An APS-H X-Pro with the XPan aspect ratio would be super cool, but unlikely in my opinion. With the massive demand for the X100VI, a full-frame version could be a huge sales success. Eventually we will know for sure, but for now we can only speculate, and most of those guesses will turn out to be wrong. Still, it’s fun to dream.
Let me apologize right up front for the slowdown in articles lately. I’ve been really busy the last few weeks, and especially the last two weeks, and particularly the last handful of days. I’m hopeful that the chaos will calm down soon—perhaps in another week—and I can get back to publishing the amount and quality of content that you are used to seeing on Fuji X Weekly.
Anyway, Fujifilm just released a teaser video ahead of their May 15/16 X Summit in Sydney (10 PM Pacific, 1 AM Eastern). From the video, it appears like they’re going to announce a camera and lens. It definitely looks intriguing. I might have to catch the X Summit the morning after because it is so late here in America. It’s only seven days away, which means we’ll know all of the details by this time next week.
I browsed Fujirumors today, to catch up on the latest buzz. I found two articles that I want to briefly comment on. First, Fujifilm apparently is working on an X100-like GFX model (no PASM, please!), which might possibly be released sometime next year. Second, Fujifilm apparently has began the initial work on a potential digital X-Pan camera to be released in 2028. I don’t know if there’s any truth to either of those, and even if there is, there’s plenty of time for Fujifilm to switch directions. However, if there is any kernel of truth, my response is: heck, yeah! I’d buy both. Take my money, Fujifilm!
I think both of those potential future cameras qualify as “wow” products, which Fujifilm talked about a couple years ago. If they are indeed in the process of creating those two models, I would just offer my encouragement to keep at it, Fujifilm, and make it happen. It seems as though there are exciting times ahead for Fujifilm photographers!
Fujirumors is reporting which battery the upcoming Fujifilm X100VI will use: the old NP-W126S.
A lot of Fuji X Weekly readers frequently visit Fujirumors. There’s some crossover between the audience of both websites; however, I’m not a rumor site, and I don’t personally have inside information on upcoming gear. I can only comment about what other people report, and Fujirumors has a reputation of being correct a whole lot more than incorrect. If you want the inside scoop, that’s where you need to go. But I do get asked to comment on the things that Fujirumors reports. Just within the last couple of hours, three different people reached out to me for my opinion on the latest rumor.
I think a lot of photographers—myself included—speculated that, since the X100VI will have IBIS, it will also have the new WP-235 battery. Between the 40mp sensor and the in-body-image-stabilization, there’s a lot of potential battery drainage, so the old battery would be insufficient, and the new battery would be a requirement. In order to use the bigger battery, the camera would need to be larger, at least a little. Plus, the new battery is a tad heavier. The assumption was that the new camera would be a hair bigger and a little heavier to accommodate IBIS and the WP-235 battery.
The X100VI will indeed be a hair bigger—but literally just a hair—as apparently the lens needs to extend just 1mm further out to make room for the IBIS, but otherwise it will be basically identical to its predecessor. I’m sure the camera will be just a smidge heavier, too, but not much at all. By using the old battery—the same battery that the X100V takes—Fujifilm prioritized size and weight on the new model. It seems as though more will be the same than different between the X100V and X100VI, and that’s not bad whatsoever. If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it.
But it definitely raises some questions regarding battery consumption. The expected battery life on the X100F was 390 pictures, and it increased to 420 on the X100V. Those numbers are decent enough, but not necessarily impressive; plenty of battery life most of the time, yet occasionally insufficient. Of course, battery life depends on a whole host of factors, so your mileage might vary. I used to own a Sigma DP Merrill camera that got between 35 and 40 exposures on a battery—about as many frames as a roll of 36 exp film. So it’s nowhere near that; however, it’s also not particularly close to the 580 shots that the X-T5 is rated at. The X-S20, with the old sensor and new battery, can apparently get 750 exposures, which illustrates that the new sensor drains the battery significantly more than the old sensor. So what kind of battery life are we looking at? I’m sure that the Fujifilm programmers worked some magic to maximize efficiency, but it would be pretty shocking if the X100VI can get more than 350 shots… it might even be less than 300. I have no idea, this is mere speculation, and I could certainly be wrong. I’ve been wrong plenty of times before, so definitely take all of this with a grain of salt.
There are, of course, some things that one can do to mitigate battery drainage. For example, on my X-T5, if I know I’ll be shooting all day and need the batteries to last, I’ll turn Image Stabilization Off, and only use it when I need it (most of the time I don’t need it). On my X100V, I like to keep the rear LCD off and use the Optical Viewfinder, which not only gives a film-like shooting experience, but also saves battery. It’s possible to make the battery last quite awhile if you need it to. And, as always, you can keep a spare or two nearby. If you are in a studio, you could always use a tethered faux battery that plugs into the wall.
I think it’s clear that the X100VI—much like the X100V—is a photographer’s camera more than a cinematography tool. With the heat issues and battery drainage—sure, it’s possible to use it for video with much success, but it is far from ideal for that purpose. I don’t use my X100V for video, and don’t anticipate using the X100VI for video, either, even with IBIS. Can you? Absolutely. Is it the best option? Absolutely not.
I’m actually a little glad that the X100VI will take the old NP-W126S, and that Fujifilm prioritized size and weight over battery life. The way I use the camera, I get significantly more than 420 exposures on a fully-charged battery. I can turn IBIS off, and only activate it when I need to, which I’m sure won’t be very often. It’s good to have IBIS as an option, but the reality is that it’s not all that important on a camera like the X100. Size and weight matter more to me. I don’t think Fujifilm’s battery choice will be a big deal for most people (it won’t be for me), but for some it might make the X100V an intriguing choice over the X100VI, just depending on how long the battery will last on the upcoming camera.
Fujirumors shared a couple of new Fujifilm X100VI rumors, and a lot of people have reached out to me asking for my reaction or commentary regarding them. I think it can be a lot of fun to speculate on what might be, but it’s important to remember that all will become clear in just a few weeks, when Fujifilm has their X Summit on the 19th/20th (date dependent on your time zone). I also want to give the disclaimer that I don’t have any inside information, and everything should be taken with a grain of salt, and not too seriously.
The first of the new rumors shared by Fujirumors is that the X100VI will have the new Reala Ace film simulation. Hallelujah! I thought that maybe it might, but it’s good to know that it will. Honestly, Fujifilm should have introduced Reala Ace on this camera, as it’ll have a much bigger marketing impact on X-series than GFX. Also, it’s important to remember that it won’t be 100% identical on X-Trans as it is on GFX, because the sensors are different… the most noticeable divergence will likely be shadow rendering. It will be pretty darn close, though, and I definitely look forward to trying it myself. Also, I’d be (pleasantly) surprised if Fujifilm gives Reala Ace to the X-T5 and X-H2. They should, but they probably won’t.
Dodge Van Steering Wheel – Buena Park, CA – Fujifilm X-T5 – Reala Ace Recipe
The second of the new rumors shared by Fujirumors is that the X100VI will only be 1mm thicker than the X100V. I don’t really know what this means, because (as far as I understand) the thickness is measured from the end of the lens to the back of the viewfinder cover. Within that space there is a lot of room for redesign. I highly doubt that Fujifilm did anything drastic (I’m pretty sure it will look nearly identical to the X100V), but the camera will have IBIS, which also likely means that it has the larger NP-W235 battery. Obviously all of that takes up space, and something’s got to give. Heat dispersion is an issue that must be dealt with. Will the new camera have a different rear screen (maybe similar to the X-T5)? If so, that might require slightly more space. It might be simply that the IBIS unit requires the sensor to be 1mm forward, so the lens needs to be moved 1mm outward to accommodate (this would be my bet). It could also be that the grip is a tad bigger; if it is, some will appreciate that and others might not. I don’t have a lot to say about this other than I’m sure the Fujifilm engineers pulled off a small miracle in the design, but also there is probably a bit more to the story than merely 1mm. There are still a lot of questions, but—like I said—all will be clear in just under three weeks when Fujifilm unveils it.
I’m really looking forward to the Fujifilm X100VI. I have an X100V that I’m not selling, but I’m very tempted by the successor, so I’ve only got a few weeks to figure out how to afford it, if I decide to preorder. The X100VI might just be the most ideal travel camera ever made… that is, of course, my opinion and mere speculation based on personal experience with the X100V and what the X100VI might be. Time will tell, though, and not too long from now, either.
We talked about the upcoming Fujifilm X100VI a bit yesterday, and today we got another interesting tidbit that’s worth discussing. According to Fujirumors, Fujifilm is planning to release at least one Limited Edition version of the X100VI, and it sounds like it might possibly be available to purchase on launch day.
Of course, Fujifilm has made some Limited Edition models in the past. Who can forget the USA Flag version of the X-A3? Nothing says ‘Merica quite like this.
Fujifilm X-A3 Limited Edition USA Flag
So I thought it would be fun to speculate what Limited Edition versions of the X100VI they could potentially release. Not long ago Fujifilm made the Disney version of the X100V. While I didn’t care for it personally, at least it wasn’t the red, white, and blue X-A3. There are a number of possible options that could actually be really cool. The Brown Edition of the X100F was snazzy, and I was tempted by it at the time.
I’ve thought of several options that Fujifilm could go with. The one that, by far, excites me the most is the Acros Edition, a B&W-only model. I doubt that Fujifilm will do this, but it would be extraordinarily epic if they did, and they absolutely should. Some other ideas are Graphite Silver (like the X-T1/X-T2), Dura Black / Dura Silver (like the X-Pro3), or Brown (like the X100F). Leica made a Limited Edition model with faux patina, maybe Fujifilm will do something similar? How about one with a different lens? They could make a more wide-angle or more telephoto version.
Fujifilm X100V Limited Edition Disney
The Disney Edition doesn’t excite me, but one with the classic Fujifilm logo on it could be decent, if done right. How about one with Mount Fuji? Maybe they should have a Fuji X Weekly model? It could have my Teton X logo printed on the front. Just kidding, of course.
I have no idea what the Limited Edition X100VI will look like. It could be something really cool or extremely outlandish. If it’s especially cool, it will make the camera even more tempting. I suppose that we’ll find out soon enough.
The “new lens” part of the upcoming X100-series model is curious, because the X100V, which was the fifth iteration of the series, was the first with a new lens. So why will the X100Z (or whatever Fujifilm names it) have a new lens? The leading theories are:
The current lens cannot fully resolve 40mp, and the new camera will have the 40mp X-Trans V sensor, so a new lens is necessary to take full advantage of the high-resolution sensor. In my opinion, this makes the most sense, although (if it is the reason) I would be slightly surprised that the current lens cannot resolve 40mp.
Fujifilm will increase the maximum aperture to f/1.8 or f/1.7 to better compete against the Leica Q3.
The new camera will have IBIS, and a lens redesign is necessary to accommodate.
Fujifilm has improved the leaf shutter, which requires a redesign of the lens.
Fujifilm will eliminate the IR hotspot on the lens, and in turn will sell a full-spectrum version.
There could be some other reasons, but those are the ones I have heard. I highly doubt it will be the last one, although it would be cool if it was. Most likely it is to resolve more resolution, but nobody knows at this point, so it could be anything.
The second upcoming camera will be the GFX100S II. Wait, what? Seriously?!
So, yeah, the GFX lineup will have the 100 II and 100S II. I’m not sure what will be different about the two models, other than the 100S II will be less expensive than the 100 II, so perhaps a little less feature-rich and slightly smaller. Honestly, I couldn’t be less excited about this, but it’s probably because I’m not in the GFX system.
I’m not entirely shocked that the upcoming camera will be the GFX100S II, but it is still a head-scratcher. First, once released, it will mean that 8 out of the last 12 Fujifilm cameras will have been PASM models (2/3rds of them). The only four non-PASM cameras will have been the X-E4 (which has been discontinued and is selling for ridiculous prices), the X-T30 II (which was basically just a firmware update and has been discontinued, although you can still find it if you search hard enough for it), the X-T5, and the X100Z (or whatever Fujifilm calls it). It will also mean that 4 out of the last 11 Fujifilm releases will have been GFX models; however, the GFX50S II has already been discontinued, and presumably the GFX100S will be discontinued very soon. I do think that the GFX system needs a divergent option, as it would seem like the GFX100 II and GFX100S II will be pretty similar to each other. A GFX100R, which would be the successor to the long-discontinued GFX50R, seems like the most obvious choice, but I don’t think Fujifilm plans to release another GFX camera with traditional tactile controls.
My best guess is that the third camera will be the X-Pro4, and that it will be announced sometime in May. I have no inside information (I never do, I get it from Fujirumors like everyone else…), but based on past releases, this makes the most sense to me. I hope that I’m right, because there’s a lot of pent-up demand and eagerness for this camera. If it’s not an X-Pro4, a lot of people will be disappointed.
So where does that leave the X-T40 (or X-T30 III or X-T50 or whatever Fujifilm will name it)? It could and should still happen, but I think Fujifilm is trying to move out of that market segment. They’re focusing more on premium products, and less on lower-tier, as they believe the bottom of the market is continuously drying up. Either Fujifilm makes that series more premium (and in turn more expensive)—kind of like what they did with the X-S20—or they do a very modest update, and it might be the last model in the series. Or it could be that the X-T30 II was the last one. My hunch is that there will be at least one more, perhaps released sometime in the second half of 2024. It certainly could be the third camera and not the X-Pro4—I think a lot of people would be shocked (in a negative way) if that were the case.
Where does this leave the X-E5? I think this line is done. The X-E4 was the last. I truly hope I’m wrong about this, though, because I love the X-E cameras. If one does come, most likely it will be in 2025 and not 2024. Since there’s so much demand for the X-E4 and not much supply, it would make a lot of sense to expedite a successor, but I don’t think that Fujifilm is currently doing so.
What about the X80? The Fujifilm X70 was discontinued in December of 2016, and there has been demand for a successor ever since. I’ve noticed that the demand for an X80 has been building recently, growing larger and more vocal. Certainly the recent sales success of the Ricoh GR III should cause Fujifilm to consider it. I don’t, however, believe that Fujifilm has any current plans to release an X80. If they did, I’d be first in line to buy one!
While this is certainly exciting news, I think it’s important to keep our expectations in check. There’s no X Summit to go along with this announcement, which means that it’s not a camera that Fujifilm deems as a significant model. Fujifilm typically makes a big fuss when they reveal a new camera, but they don’t always; however, those cameras tend to be low-end budget models. There wasn’t an X Summit back when the XF10 was announced, for example.
What, then, will this camera be? Nobody yet knows, but my guess is a low-end model, most likely a Bayer camera. I thought Fujifilm was done making these, but maybe they believe there’s a market after all?
The upcoming model might be an X-A8. The X-A series was a popular line—especially in Asian countries—for many years, but the X-A7 had disappointing sales numbers, and was abruptly discontinued not long after release. The X-A7 and X-T200 were basically competing against each other, and it might have been a case of Fujifilm offering two models that were too similar. Both lines had been axed, but maybe Fujifilm feels there’s enough demand that they can resurrect one; since the X-A line was smaller than the X-T000 series, I could see it qualifying as a “very small” model.
Another possibility is something that probably nobody is thinking of: pocket digicam zoom. Something like the XF1 and XQ2 would be intriguing, but it could also be more along the lines of the FinePix T400, since there has been renewed interest in those types of cameras. Perhaps it’s a successor to the XP140 waterproof camera? That’s actually the most likely option, as unexciting as it might be.
Of course it could be an XF20, a followup to the XF10. The XF10 had mediocre sales, but with the Ricoh GR III being almost as in-demand as the X100V, Fujifilm might possibly see an opportunity. Strike while the iron’s hot, as they say—and the iron for that type of camera is certainly hot right now. Even better would be an X80, the long-hoped-for successor to the X70. I think an X80 would get an X Summit, so I’m less hopeful for that, but you never know. A lot of people wish for that camera, so I will keep my fingers crossed.
Could “very small” be in reference to an X-E5? Probably not, unless they shrunk it a bunch. Also, they’d announce it at an X Summit, I’m certain. It could be an Instax Mini EVO 2, which would technically be a digital camera, and is quite tiny in the world of Instax. Don’t be surprised if it’s this. I’ll certainly be disappointed, as it wouldn’t fit my personal definition of “very small” or “digital camera.”
Most likely, the new camera will be a FinePix XP150 (or whatever they’ll call it). If so, it’s not something I have any interest in buying. I think an XF20 or X-A8 are small possibilities, but I would be shocked, since Fujifilm has seemingly moved beyond releasing those types of cameras. Even less likely are are an X40 or XQ3, since Fujifilm hasn’t made 2/3″ sensor models in a long time. An X80 would be most ideal, and a camera that a lot of people would celebrate—I would be at the front of the line to buy it—but I don’t think Fujifilm would announce it without fanfare, so I highly doubt that is it.
Since there’s not going to be much fanfare, it’s not going to be a camera that you’ll probably get excited for. Because we don’t know what it will be—only that it’s coming, whatever it is—our imaginations can run wild, and the possibilities, no matter how unlikely, give us some excitement. Just keep your expectations low, or else you’ll probably be disappointed.
What’s interesting about this is that the lens was redesigned not long ago for the Fujifilm X100V, but the four prior versions—X100, X100S, X100T, and X100F—all shared the original lens. While Fujifilm improved the lens, it wasn’t a huge change. The main thing that Fujifilm addressed was corner sharpness when using a large aperture. At f/2, the old lens was a bit soft (something some people liked and others didn’t), but the new one on the X100V doesn’t have that issue. Beyond that, the update was rather insignificant.
The question is, why will the next X100-series model have a different lens than the X100V? There are a few main ideas that I think could explain it. One is that the X100Z (or whatever Fujifilm will call it) is likely to have the 40mp sensor found in the X-T5 and X-H2, and perhaps the current lens isn’t sharp enough to take full advantage of the resolution. Another idea is that, since the lens isn’t fully weather-sealed without a filter across the front, maybe Fujifilm has figured out how to fully seal it. A third possibility is that Fujifilm will include IBIS, and the lens needs to be adjusted slightly to accommodate. A final idea is that the lens redesign is to simply accommodate an improved leaf shutter. It could be a combination of those reasons or perhaps others not considered.
Gold Coast Blooms – Laguna Beach, CA – Fujifilm X100V – upcoming Recipe
There are also some wild ideas that are much less likely to be the case, but you never know. One is that Fujifilm will increase the maximum aperture to f/1.7 like the Leica Q3. Another is that Fujifilm will change the focal length to be more wide—perhaps 18mm (27mm-equivalent) or 20mm (30mm-equivalent)—or more telephoto—maybe 25mm (37.5mm-equivalent), 27mm (40.5mm-equivalent), 30mm (45mm-equivalent), or 33mm (50mm-equivalent). A third idea is that Fujifilm is working to make the next iteration more pocketable, and the lens will be slightly slimmer. The wildest idea might be that the X100Z will have a zoom lens instead of a prime (while some might like that, overall I think it would start a riot…). With how things have been going in Fuji-land, it could even be that the shutter dial and aperture ring will be removed in favor of a PASM dial. A final idea is that the redesign will remove the IR hotspot, and Fujifilm will offer a full-spectrum version. I don’t think any of these will be the case, but I’ve certainly been wrong before.
An interesting thought is that the X100V won’t actually be replaced, per se, especially since it is currently so popular, but that Fujifilm will simply introduce an alternative version with a different focal-length lens. In other words, Fujifilm could manufacture the X100V for another few years (and maybe introduce a firmware update to make it more fresh), and offer an 18mm or 20mm version that is otherwise identical. Sigma had [three or] four versions of their DP cameras, which were identical except for the focal-length of the lens: 14mm (21mm-equivalent), 19mm (28mm-equivalent), 30mm (45mm-equivalent), and 50mm (75mm-equivalent) options. Ricoh has two versions of the GR III: 18.3mm (27.5mm-equivalent) and 26mm (39mm-equivalent). Maybe Fujifilm could do something similar? Perhaps have two or three X100V options, each with a different focal-length lens? I highly doubt that Fujifilm will do this, but it would be intriguing if they did.
Time will tell what exactly the lens redesign is, but I don’t anticipate it being anything particularly revolutionary. I think it will be a mild refresh to what is already an excellent lens. Most likely it will be made a hair crisper so that it can fully resolve the 40mp sensor. At this point, though, anything is possible, so it’s fun to consider what it could be, no matter how unlikely.
According to Fujirumors, Fujifilm plans to introduce a new film simulation on September 12, the same day they will announce the upcoming GFX100 II camera. It’s assumed that the new film sim will be found on the new GFX camera, although the rumor doesn’t state that outright.
I’m always excited when Fujifilm introduces a new film simulation, which should be pretty obvious. But I do wonder why Fujifilm has decided to introduce new film simulations on GFX models. Let me explain.
From the data I have, only a small number of people shoot Film Simulation Recipes on GFX cameras. The vast, vast majority do so on Fujifilm X-Trans cameras, not Bayer (GFX or APS-C). Most do so on X-Trans III or newer models, with the majority on X-Trans IV. While some people use film simulations on GFX cameras, most keep it in Provia/STD and adjust the color profiles in Lightroom to whatever they want. The film simulations are mostly for JPEG photographers (yes, Lightroom, Capture One, etc., have their own versions of them), and most GFX owners are not shooting straight-out-of-camera JPEGs, but instead are RAW editing.
Fujifilm introduced the Nostalgic Neg. film simulation, which is the latest film sim, on the GFX 50S II, and Fujifilm used it to promote that camera. Nostalgia Neg. didn’t become available on X-series models until the X-H2S, which was released a whole year later, and it wasn’t even mentioned in any of the promotional material for that camera or the one that followed. It was barely mentioned in the promotions for the X-T5, but at least they talked about it a little. By far, most of those using Nostalgic Neg. are doing so on the X-T5, X-H2, X-H2S, and X-S20, and only some are using it on the GFX 50S II and GFX100S.
Stop for the Sunset – Surprise, AZ – Fujifilm X-T5 – Emulsion ’86 Recipe – Nostalgic Neg.
Even though Fujifilm didn’t really use the new film sim to promote the X-Trans V models, I know that it was a significant reason why many have purchased and love the new cameras. Obviously it’s not the only reason or probably even the main reason for many, but an important reason nonetheless. The new film sim—despite Fujifilm doing so very little to get the word out about it—has been a fairly significant selling point for those buying X-Trans V cameras. Similarly, Classic Negative was a big selling point for many X-Trans IV models.
The lesson here is that new film simulations don’t do a whole lot to promote GFX camera sales because, for the most part, GFX owners don’t care about them. Obviously not all, but definitely the majority. On the flip side, new film sims are an important aspect of X-Trans buying decisions, as many X-series photographers use them regularly, yet Fujifilm ignores this potential opportunity. It just makes no sense to me, and I think it’s a pretty significant mistake by Fujifilm.
I don’t know what this new film simulation will be. I have many ideas on what it could be, but I have zero inside information on what it will be. It could be PRO Neg. Z, based on the Fujicolor Pro 800Z film stock. Another idea is PRO 400H, based on Fujicolor Pro 400H, which should produce pastel colors when overexposed like the film does. How about a super vibrant option based on Fortia 50? Or a film sim that replicates IR? Cross process? Instax? There are a lot of potential options.
I do hope that Fujifilm will give this new film simulation, whatever it is, to the current X-Trans V lineup via firmware updates, but I don’t think they will. They absolutely should, though. My guess is that the X100Z (or whatever they will call it) or X-Pro4—whichever model comes next—will be the first X-series camera to get it.
What do you hope the new film simulation will be based on? What are some good ideas for future film sims? Let me know in the comments!
Fujifilm will be announcing some new gear on September 12; Fujirumors is reporting that it will be GFX cameras and lenses, including a GFX100 successor (which, apparently, wasn’t the GFX100S), GF 55mm f1.7, GF 30mm f/5.6 tilt-shift, and GF 110mm f/5.6 tilt-shift. A rumor has floated for awhile now that two X-series cameras would be released in 2023. The first was the X-S20. What will the second be? And will it be announced in September?
We know that the X100V replacement won’t come until next year, so which one will be next? There’s been a lot of speculation that it could be the X-Pro4 because it’s long overdue; however, if it is, something would have likely already leaked about it, so I’m marking it as unlikely. How about an X80? Fujifilm absolutely should release this camera, but I think that ship has sailed in their minds, and it’s not even on the list of potential future models. X-A8 or X-T300? Those lines have been discontinued, so no. It’s much too soon for an X-H3 or X-T6 or X-S30. What does that leave? The X-E5 or X-T40 (which they might call X-T50). Let me give a few quick reasons why I think it will and won’t be each of those models.
It will be the X-E5 because the X-E4 was a hot commodity just before being surprisingly discontinued (presumably so that manufacturing efforts could be diverted to the X100V). It was backordered everywhere and even sometimes selling for more than MSRP. There’s still quite a demand for it, but so very little supply. It was strange that Fujifilm axed an in-demand model, but if they were preparing to release a successor, it makes a lot more sense.
It won’t be the X-E5 because Fujifilm will probably only offer one base-level camera going forward (due to shifting markets), and between the X-T00 and X-E lines, it’s more likely the X-E that’s not renewed. Besides that, historically, the X-E line comes at the very end of a sensor generation, not towards the beginning or middle.
Wearing Grandpa’s Hat – South Weber, UT – Fujifilm X-T30 – Kodacolor
It will be the X-T40 (or X-T50) because this line is long overdue for an update. The X-T30 was released over four years ago. The X-T30 II was an extremely minor upgrade, mostly just a firmware update that should have been given to the X-T30. Both the X-T30 and X-T30 II have been discontinued, so it makes sense that a new version is about to come out. Besides, the X-T00 line has been a good seller for Fujifilm, and the current lineup is in desperate need for a camera of its class.
It won’t be the X-T40 because the X-T30 II was released only two years ago. While it sold well, it wasn’t as in-demand or trendy as the X-E4. Aside from that, Fujifilm is clearly focusing more on higher-end models, and not entry-level.
What’s my opinion? I think, if an X-series camera is announced on September 12, it will be the X-T40. I don’t think the X-T40 will likely be a major upgrade, so including it on the same day as the GFX150 (or whatever the new GFX camera will be called) makes sense. Just as likely, no X-series models will be announced on September 12; perhaps the next camera will be the X-Pro4 in November (that’s just speculation, I have zero inside information).
The X-T40 will probably be the exact same thing as the X-T30 II, except with the X-Processor 5, which brings improved autofocus and video specs, along with the Nostalgic Neg. film simulation. I suspect that it will have the same X-Trans IV sensor and the same NP-W126S battery, and be 95% the same camera. I don’t think it will be revolutionary; however, it will be Fujifilm’s sub-$1,000 option, which I think is still important to offer. Don’t be surprised, if Fujifilm does decide to eventually release an X-E5, that the X-T00 and X-E lines aren’t available at the same time. In other words, they might manufacture the X-T40 for a year or two (depending on how it sells), and then discontinue it as they prepare to release the X-E5. Once that’s been on the market for a year or so, it’ll get discontinued in time for the next X-T00. I think Fujifilm sees these two models as competing against themselves to some degree. I wouldn’t be surprised at all if one of these two lines was simply (and quietly) discontinued.
In my opinion, I think Fujifilm has been secretly working on the X-Pro4, and I wouldn’t be shocked if it was released in November (like the X-T5 was last year). I think it would make a ton of sense. They’ll probably readdressed the rear screen somehow. I do believe it will have the 40mp sensor, and don’t be surprised if it is the first X-series camera with the XPan aspect ratio as an option. This would be a smart move, I think, and it would fall within Fujifilm’s shift towards focusing more on higher-end cameras and less on lower-end.
What do you think? Will an X-series camera be announced on September 12? Which model will it be? What do you hope for? Let me know in the comments!
Fujirumors is reporting that the Fujifilm X100V successor, which I’m calling the X100Z, will be announced in early 2024 (and they’re almost always right). Going by previous models, that means Fujifilm will announce the camera in either late-January or early-February, and it will likely ship in late-February or early-March.
That’s good news, especially if you’ve been trying to get an X100V but just can’t. Reinforcements are coming soon enough, and the wait will be over before you know it.
Here are some issues, though. If you’ve been patiently waiting for an X100V, and you’ve been on a backorder list for months and months—are you going to be happy when your X100V ships just a little prior to the announcement of the new model? The X100V is great, so I hope that the timing won’t sour your opinions or experience, but it might. Or this: will those on the waitlist for the X100V be given priority for the X100Z? Let’s say you’ve been waiting six months for your X100V and it hasn’t shipped. Suddenly the X100Z is announced. Will the store offer to bump you to the top of the preorder list for the new model? I know of one store that told me this will be their plan. Is it fair to those who don’t have an X100V on backorder but who preorder the X100Z within minutes of its announcement, but can’t get their camera shipped timely because others jumped the line from the X100V? It could be that you’ll have to cancel your long-awaited order and place a new one for the new camera, getting in a whole different line, possibly not at the top. Is that fair? I don’t have any answers, I’m just posing the questions—it’s something that Fujifilm and camera stores will have to carefully consider and tread lightly with.
I don’t know what Fujifilm will call the next X100-series model, but I’m betting on X100Z. Why? First, it sounds cool. Second, “Z” (Zeta) is the sixth letter in the Greek alphabet, and this will be the sixth iteration of the camera. Third, Fujifilm used Z in some of their film emulsion names, such as Fujicolor Pro 800Z. It makes a lot of sense to me, so that’s why I think it’s what they’ll choose. But I have no idea.
I don’t believe Fujifilm will bring very many changes to the new model. The X100-series doesn’t evolve much. I do believe it will include the 40-megapixel X-Trans V sensor and processor. Some want the 26mp stacked sensor of the X-H2s, and some want the X-Trans IV sensor of the X100V. While anything is possible, I would be pretty darn surprised if it isn’t the 40-megapixel sensor. Due to the fixed-focal-length limitation, having more resolution offers more versatility. Also, Fujifilm could give us the X-Pan 65:24 aspect ratio (Fujifilm: hint, hint)….
Speaking of that, the Digital Teleconverters will benefit from the 40mp sensor, and Fujifilm could even include a third option, something like 80mm or possibly 85mm. I hope, though, that they fix the problem of the faux Grain not scaling. As it is now, the Grain appears huge when using the 70mm Digital Teleconverter; however, it should scale so that it is the same size as when not using the Digital Teleconverter.
Another potential benefit of the 40mp sensor would be digital image stabilization for video. Some sort of hyper-smooth digital cropping that still renders 4K would make the camera more useful for videography. I know that a lot of people want IBIS, but I’d be surprised if Fujifilm put it into this model. Who knows, maybe they will (and it would certainly make the new model an upgrade), but if I were betting money, I’d say that the X100Z doesn’t have IBIS.
I think bringing back the four-way D-Pad on the back would be a nice touch. I believe that Fujifilm was trying to move away from it, but there was a lot of outcry from the community. That’s something Fujifilm could do to differentiate the X100Z from the X100V and make a lot of people happy.
I suspect that whatever part or parts Fujifilm was having difficulty securing in order to manufacture more copies of the X100V, will be replaced by some alternative(s) that will more easily be available. How that affects the camera, I have no idea. Maybe a slightly different rear LCD? I’m sure I’m in the minority here, but I’d actually prefer no rear screen, or maybe just the little box-top rear screen like on the X-Pro3. Maybe a slightly different viewfinder? Whatever it is, I’m sure there will be something different that allows the camera to be more readily produced.
The most obvious thing that Fujifilm could do—and they absolutely should do—with the X100Z is introduce a new film simulation. I don’t know if Fujifilm realizes just how important film sims and Film Simulation Recipes are for camera sales and customer retention. If they do end up naming the camera X100Z, then a Fujicolor Pro 800Z-inspired (maybe called PRO Neg. Z) film sim would make a lot of sense; otherwise, Fujicolor Pro 400H (that with overexposure behaves similarly to the film), Fujichrome Sensia, Fujichrome Fortia, cross-process, infrared, Instax, and Neopan 400CN are a few other ideas. Obviously, Eterna Bleach Bypass and Nostalgia Neg. will also be included in the new camera.
Beyond that, I don’t think there will be a whole lot of differences between the X100V and X100Z. They will be much more alike than dissimilar. I said, though, that we were going to dream, so let’s throw some wild ideas out there, and see if any of them happen to come to pass.
My first wild idea is that Fujifilm uses an APS-H sensor instead of APS-C. I have no idea if the camera’s lens has APS-H coverage—my guess is that it does not—but if by chance it does, I believe that the current 40mp chip cut to APS-H size would be about 60mp (that may not be accurate… let me know if I got my calculation wrong). The 1.3 crop factor would make the lens 30mm full-frame equivalent. On paper the X100Z would be more similar to the Leica Q3, but at a fraction of the cost—it would be the Q3 killer!
Next, an interesting idea someone suggested was that the IR filter, which normally is directly on the sensor, could be moved next to the ND filter, and—like the ND filter—it could be enabled and disabled. In other words, with the push of a button, your X100Z could convert to full-spectrum! The lens has, apparently, an IR hot-spot in the center, but maybe it’s something Fujifilm could correct in-camera (similar to vignetting). It’s a crazy idea, but would be super cool!
I mentioned IBIS already, stating that I don’t think it’s likely to happen, but if Fujifilm can include it on the X100Z with minimal effect on size, weight, heat, and cost, that would be amazing! I hope they can, but I doubt they will. We can dream, though, right?
Of course, I’d love to see a monochrome-only version. If Fujifilm doesn’t do it with an X100-series body, they should do it with an X-Pro model. In other words, Fujifilm should definitely make an Acros-version of one of their cameras, and the X100 is a logical option.
How about three different versions, each with a different focal length? Sigma did something like this with their DP line. There could be 18mm, 23mm, and 33mm options, each identical, except for the focal length.
Fujifilm could also make special edition models, like Dura Silver or brown leather or something like that. It would have to be really well done and not cheesy. Charge a little extra for these variations.
That’s all I have. What crazy ideas can you think of for the upcoming X100Z (or whatever Fujifilm will call it)? Let me know in the comments!
Historic 25th Street Dragon – Ogden, UT – Fujifilm X-E1 – 16-megapixel
I think there’s a new resolution revolution about to be unleashed on the photography world.
Fujirumors is reporting that the X-H2S will have a 26-megapixel X-Trans V stacked sensor, which will be much like the X-Trans IV sensor but faster; however, the X-H2 will have a 40-megapixel X-Trans V sensor that’s not stacked, and the X-H2 will be less expensive than the X-H2S. My interpretation of this is that “regular” X-Trans V cameras will be 40mp. Wait, what? The upcoming Fujifilm cameras will be 40-megapixels?!
I saw today that Canon Rumors is reporting that an over-100-megapixel full-frame camera is in the works to be released next year—I also saw that Sony “may have” a 102mp camera coming later this year. Yesterday I saw that, according to 9to5Google, Motorola will release a cellphone with a 200-megapixel camera.
Morning Drive – Fort Stevens SP, OR – iPhone 11 – RitchieCam app – 12-megapixel
While many people will get very excited over this, and I do find it a bit fascinating, I’m not all thrilled about it. Why? I would prefer to see advancements in dynamic range (particularly highlights) and high-ISO performance over resolution. I haven’t encountered many situations where I found my cameras lacking the resolution required for what I needed. Honestly, 16-megapixels are more than enough for the average person, and 26-megapixels are more than enough for 99% of people. Very few people (although there are some) actually need 40mp, and even fewer (although there are some) actually need 100mp. Yeah, it’s fun to pixel-peep a 100mp picture, or even a 50mp picture, but in a practical sense, it’s not “better” than 26mp or even 16mp. And, of course, the bigger the file, the more storage is required, and the longer it takes to upload/download.
Instead of extra resolution, I’d actually prefer a new film simulation or two, and a couple new JPEG options, that allow me to achieve in-camera some things that I currently cannot. I’d get really excited for that! I bet a number of you would, too. I think there are a lot of improvements and advancements that could happen that don’t require any increase in resolution, but megapixels are easy to market—it’s the tried and true method to gain sales—so that’s what we get.
Ready or not, the next resolution revolution is here. I certainly won’t complain as I pixel-peep, but I might have to replace my SD cards, buy a larger external hard drive, and get more memory on my next iPhone….
